Golden Globes 2021 predictions: Who will win and who should win?
First of all, the Golden Globes are an irritation, secondly a celebration of film and TV art.
Each year, the Hollywood International Media Association (HFPA) is an enigmatic group of 93 non-American journalists living in Los Angeles to award awards without any clear rhyme or justification behind the decisions.
This profoundly moving indie drama on which you fall head-on?
It's not visible anywhere.
Any tacky thing packed with cheap emotions and bankable stars?
Any Golden Globes record is guaranteed to break.
The awards have never been especially precise predictors of what would happen in the night of Oscar.
All they do is offer an extra impact to every current front runner – Chloé Zhao's Nomadland, Aaron Sorkin's The Chicago 7 Trial and David Fincher's Mank this year.
In 1917, the Golden World was awarded Best Motion Picture (Drama).
The night marked a sea shift in how war epic was viewed as a war, whilst the Irishman rose from the early favorite and proclaimed himself to be a huge competitor.
Usually, the ceremony has a bit of fun to have.
Food and drink are cooked alongside the trophies, so the room still provides a more loose and funny environment.
It's all treated like a huge band.
This will definitely not happen this year, but the Globes are already expected to advertise their contingency plans for Covid-19.
Except that Tina Fey and Amy Poehler with established track records are hosting live on the other hand, Fey is broadcasting from Rainbow Room at The Rockefeller Center in New York City, while Poehler is based inside the Beverly Hilton Hotel at the normal location of the Globes.
Without further ado, this is what the Golden Globes will expect from the film categories on 28 January.
Best Picture of Motion (Drama)
Young Women Promising
The Chicago 7 Trial
Will win: The Chicago Trial 7
Should Win: Nomad nation
Should she take a look-in?
In the manner people have expected – or the streamer has planned – Netflix struggled to conquer Globes this year, as its present plan tends to include as many award-winners as possible and expectations for the best.
Both The Chicago 7 and Mank's trial were here, but there was noticeable lack of Ma Rainey's Black Bottom and Da 5 Bloods.
Meanwhile, Searchlight's Nomadland is Netflix's toughest rivalry.
It is a very good borderline of the Oscar, but it is a half-documentary approach – in which Frances McDormand stands beside real-life nomads and actors for the first time – which ensures there is no flatness to wow the HFPA.
Voting would most likely be influenced by the drama of The Chicago 7 trial in the courts.
A conservative attitude to foreign cinema is one of the many angry facets of the Golden Globes.
This is not the case with Parasite, who won Best Picture at the Oscars last year, since the rules state that at least 50% of the film dialogue, should be in English to compete.
This year Lee Isaac Chung's sublime Minari has been barred – but he is led by an American, made by US corporations and tells the story of an immigrant Korean family living in Arkansas.
What a joke.
Best Picture of Motion (Comedy or Musical)
Subsequent movie Borat
Springs of Palm
Will win: Borat's next movie
Can win: Springs of Palm
Do you look in: David Copperfield's personal history
While Borat Subsequent Moviefilm seemed to be the logical choice here, having done well with numerous critical awards, the Golden Globes are renowned for their wide variety of humor.
It definitely means that the ingenious Palm Springs, the best of its kind last year, have virtually null chance.
The film and star Andy Samberg simply must be honoured with their nomination.
The Globes made it possible for Hamilton, a recorded interpretation of Broadway songs, to perform where the Oscars didn't - the HFPA could make it benefit through stubbornness.
The nomination feels a little cheaty, especially because it (and the disastrous, Sia-Directed Music) is the site of Armando Iannucci's vibrant Dickens adaptation, David Copperfield's personal history.
Frances McDormand in the 20th century studios of Nomadland
Emerald Fennell, Young Woman Promising
Mank, David Fincher
Regina King, Miami One Night
Aaron Sorkin, The Chicago Trial 7
Nomadland, Chloé Zhao
Will win: Nomadland, Chloé Zhao.
Can Win: Nomadland, Chloé Zhao
Should she have an insight: Spike Lee, Da 5 Bloods
It's a big moment in the evolution of Globes.
Just five women were nominated for Best Director for the first time in the 78-year history of the Globes: Sofia Coppola, Jane Campion, Ava DuVernay, Kathryn Bigelow and Barbra Streisand, who were nominated two times, respectively.
Even if Nomadland does not achieve best results, you would like the HFPA to give Zhao's own efforts, at least.
But a notable name is absent – Spike Lee for his bold role on Da 5 Bloods.
Best work by a traveling actress (Drama)
Promising Young WomanFocus features by Carey Mulligan
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom, Viola Davis
The USA vs. Billie Holiday, Andra Day
Vanessa Kirby, Woman's Bits
Nomadland, Frances McDormand
Carey Mulligan, Young Woman Promising
Will win: Carey Mulligan, Young Woman Appealing
Can win: Carey Mulligan, Young Woman Promising
Will she take a look: Nicole Beharie, Miss Juneteenth
In this group there are some good rivals.
Frances McDormand gives her work in Nomadland an extraordinary lightness of touch and weakness as a woman who has lost nearly all she is dear to.
In Ma Rainey's Black Bottom, Viola Davis boasts the drastic transition in the role of a true blues legend alongside a phenomenal performance.
But it looks more and more like Carey Mulligan's year.
In Emerald Fennell's daring novel, "Promising young women," Mulligan's Cassie faces a society of abusive men by being a very special kind of avenging angel – a vessel of sheer sorrow and fury.
It is the kind of output that needs care.
It's just a disgraceful season that never looks past the core studio offerings.
Had Nicole Beharie's success in Miss Juneteenth been celebrated here, it was fantastic – a brilliant piece of work that reveals all the joys and worries of motherhood in the gentle and sad eyes of Beharie.
Best work by an actor in a gesture (Drama)
Riz Ahmed, Metal Tone
Ma Rainey's Black Butt, Chadwick Boseman
The Father, Anthony Hopkins
Oldman Gary, Mank
Mauritanian Tahar Rahim
Will win: Boseman Chadwick, Black Bottom Ma Rainey's
Can win: Chadwick Boseman, the Black Bottom of Ma Rainey
Can she take a look: Steven Yeun, Minari
It is impossible to see how in this group Chadwick Boseman won't – his success in the big screen adaptation of August Wilson's play, which follows a series of black musicians in Chicago Twenties crackles in a fire.
This may have already been the case, but his passing in late August inevitably brings a different context.
And while Riz Ahmed and Tahar Rahim are nice to see amongst the winners, as their awards have not always been assured, Steven Yeun's absence seems to be serious – was he affected by Minari's unavailability?
Next month, he is also expected to land an Oscar nomination.
Best work by a traveling actress (Comedy or Musical)
Borat Subsequent movieAmazon Studios Maria Bakalova
Maria Bakalova, Borat Movie Next
Music, Kate Hudson
French exit Michelle Pfeiffer
I Care a Lot, Rosamund Pike
Taylor-Joy Anya, Emma
Will win: Maria Bakalova, Movie Borat
Can win: I feel a lot about Rosamund Pike?
Does she take a look: Phillipa Soo, Hamilton
Award season enjoys a plot and, this year, one of Borat's subsequent movie star Maria Bakalova's most irresistible orbits.
The actress, who had been completely unknown outside of her homeland Bulgaria, entered to play the daughter of the Kazakh TV journalist and almost stole the screen.
Her job is a pure exercise in pure determination, particularly when it comes to a certain climatic meeting with Rudy Giuliani that is worthy of news.
Kudos should go to Rosamund Pike, who is still underestimated, who is completely fiendish in dark satire, I Care a Lot.
But if we have Hamilton to include, why not honor her female cast?
The last moments of Philipa Soo as Eliza Hamilton mark the purest manifestation of the idealistic aspirations of the film.
Best work by an actor in a gesture (Comedy or Musical)
Borat Subsequent movie Sacha Baron Cohen
The Prom, James Corden
Miranda Lin-Manuel, Hamilton
Dev Patel, David Copperfield's life biography
Andy Samberg, Springs Palm
Will win: Sacha Baron Cohen, Borat's next movie
Can win: Dev Patel, David Copperfield's personal history
She should get a look-in: Will Ferrell, Eurovision Song Contest: Fire Saga Story
Though it risks putting confidence in a wide variety of humor during the awards season, Cohen will definitely be supported by his second nomination in The Chicago 7 courtroom.
At least one Golden Globe looks sure to win.
Can he go for more?
If only there was more appreciation of the success of Dev Patel in David Copperfield's Personal History – his thrilling, puppy energy